Added estimathon
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Advanced/Estimathon/main.tex
Executable file
206
Advanced/Estimathon/main.tex
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% use [nosolutions] flag to hide solutions.
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% use [solutions] flag to show solutions.
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\documentclass[
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solutions,
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singlenumbering
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]{../../resources/ormc_handout}
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\usepackage{../../resources/macros}
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\uptitlel{Advanced 2}
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\uptitler{Winter 2023}
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\title{Estimathon}
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\subtitle{Prepared by \githref{Mark} on \today{}}
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\begin{document}
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\maketitle
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\section{Rules}
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Your team will have 45 minutes to work on 20 estimation problems.
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The answer to each problem is a positive real number. Your team will
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submit intervals for each problem, which (ideally) contain the specified quantity.
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\vspace{2mm}
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An interval is \say{good} if it contains the true value. After the end of the game,
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your team's score will be calculated as follows:
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$$
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\Biggl(10 +\sum_\text{good intervals}\biggl\lfloor\frac{\text{min}}{\text{max}}\biggr\rfloor\Biggr)
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\times 2^{20 ~-~ \text{number of good intervals}}
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$$
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For every problem you miss or leave blank, your score doubles. \par
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Your job is to \textbf{minimize} your score.
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\vspace{8mm}
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Every team will get 25 answer sheets. You may use one of these sheets to submit an interval at any time.
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Make sure you write your team name, problem number, and interval (min and max) every time you submit.
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\vspace{2mm}
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There are 20 problems, but you are given 25 answer sheets. You may re-submit your solution to any problem
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(as long as you have sheets remaining). Your latest answer will be kept.
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\vspace{2mm}
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Your interval may not use any mathematical operations except for scientific notation \par
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(for example, $[2 \times 10^2, 3 \times 10^2]$ or $[2\text{e}2, 3\text{e}2]$)
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\vfill
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\pagebreak
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\section{Problems}
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\problem{}
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What is the highest posted speed limit in the United States?
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\begin{solution}
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$85$ mi/hr
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\end{solution}
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\problem{}
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What is the melting point of gold?
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\begin{solution}
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$1064.18$ C
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\end{solution}
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\problem{}
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How many ways are there to tile a square with $2 \times 1$ and $1 \times 2$ dominos?
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\problem{}
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How many words are in Isaac Asimov's \textit{Foundation} trilogy?
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\begin{solution}
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About 250,000
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\end{solution}
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\problem{}
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How much HP can the average horse produce (disregarding fatigue)?
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\begin{solution}
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About 15HP, as measured in 1925.
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\end{solution}
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\problem{}
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What is the approximate speed of the magnetic north pole's drift? (in km/year)
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\begin{solution}
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60km/yr
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\end{solution}
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\problem{}
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How many creatures are there in \textit{Dwarf Fortress}?
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\begin{solution}
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500 (estimate, no way I'm counting them all)
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\end{solution}
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\problem{}
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What was the stock price of Apple on $2023-01-10$?
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\begin{solution}
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$\$186.19$
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\end{solution}
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\problem{}
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How many undergraduates were enrolled at UCLA in the Fall of 2021?
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\begin{solution}
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32,121
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\end{solution}
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\problem{}
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How many distinct groups are there on $60$ elements?
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\begin{solution}
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13
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\end{solution}
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\problem{}
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For how many positive integers $n$ less than $10,000$ is $2^n -n^2$ divisible by $7$?
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\begin{solution}
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2858
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\end{solution}
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\problem{}
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How many Serbian dinars can you exchange for $\$32.53$?
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\begin{solution}
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3,473.02
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\end{solution}
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\problem{}
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How many lines of code were in the Linux repository in 2022?
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\begin{solution}
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About 27.8 million
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\end{solution}
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\problem{}
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How many hours of podcasts has Mark listened to in 3.5 years of driving to UCLA?
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\begin{solution}
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809.4 hours
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\end{solution}
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\problem{}
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Five boxes are filled with pastries. We know that box C contains a third of the pastries in E, and that
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B contains two times more than C and E combined. Box A contains half the number of pastries in E, and
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a tenth of those in D. Box B contains four times more pastries than D. \par
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What is the minimal possible positive number of pastries in all the boxes put together?
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\begin{solution}
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310
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\end{solution}
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\problem{}
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How many officially-recognized time zones are there?
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\begin{solution}
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Oddly enough, 38
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\end{solution}
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\problem{}
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What is the smallest number ending in 34, divisible by 34, with a sum of digits equal to 34?
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\begin{solution}
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198934
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\end{solution}
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\problem{}
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How many distinct typewriter models were produced by \textit{Smith Corona} since 1886?
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\begin{solution}
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106
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\end{solution}
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\problem{}
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About how many people live on Antarctica during the winter?
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\begin{solution}
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About 1100; rises to about 5000 in Summer.
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\end{solution}
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\problem{}
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What is the standard deviation of the above solutions?
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\begin{solution}
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7,2318.7
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\end{solution}
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\end{document}
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